Thursday, November 04, 2004

derelection day + one

ok - so here are some earlyish thoughts after some restless hours in bed.

the first question is whether the election was literally stolen - and i dont yet have any specific, cumulative evidence to indicate that it was. we know that there were fraud/suppression attempts to steal it - in ohio and florida and elsewhere - and so long as they attempted to steal it, and they won, its kinda moot to some extent whether their efforts were effective or not. i previously posited that praps the votefraud noise was a redherring designed to take eyes off the electronicvotingmachines... my sense is that they did this pretty well - all the precum warnings about ohio and jets of lawyers and stuff didnt come to fruition, and now the dems have nothing to point to. certainly no recount receipts. which is kinda how it was sposed to be.

before the election, it looked to me as though jonk was something like 5% ahead, and i said that the main indicator would be the exit polls. well - it turns out the exit polls pointed strongly toward jonk being 44, and the bettingmarkets pointed strongly to a jonkwin. 43 went from evens to 3/1 - which is an enormous move. it seemed to me to be all over bar the shenanigans. and then i looked up 30 mins later and the mkts literally flipped - i couldnt point to any reason at the time - but that doesnt necessarily mean anything cos i was following things so closely.

www.unknownnews.org is 'reporting' a last-day 8% swing to 43 in florida - to the extent that is true, then thats prolly smelly.

another thing that isnt clear is whether tuesdays exit polls included only those actually voting tue, or if it was cumulative across the early voting. on sunday night "30% of registered voters in Florida have already voted, either through early voting or by absentee. Of those who have already voted, Kerry leads President Bush 51% to 43%." 43 ended up with 52% in florida. if we ignore for the mo that 51+43=only94, and we assume that the early numbers are accurate, then jonk fell from 51% of actual votes pre-election-day to 45% on election day. and thats a pretty big shift.

the second question is whether the election was, if not literally, then at least effectively stolen. it seems to me that if the egadmin lie lie and lie again, and a significant proportion of people voted according to those lies, then the election was (at a minimum) effectively stolen.

in terms of the future, the talk of a softergentler second term seems to me to be completely absurd. the unshackling of maniacs seems, to this observer, to point in the other direction. im not sure whether its possible to turn the ship around - we may have just driven straight past the last exit. its not obvious whether theyll abolish the 2term limit, or install arnie or jeb in 08.

praps the nov3.us crew can work out a plan - heres there latest http://nov3.us/urgentresponsenetwork.php - with an update expected at 9am. praps some pre-inauguration rioting or a military coup can save us.

in terms of agenda - draft. no abortion. no gays. more war. more psycho-racism. more psycho-sexism. 3 decades of psycho-supreme court. more lies. more dissembling. more whiteychurchstuff.

naacp is toast. eminem is toast. nytimes is toast. anyone who has shown dissent will be toast. all those who wrote scathing editorials will be toast. no-one else will dare show any dissent. and the bubble will never again bump into reality. runaway bubblism is never pretty.

keep your second passport up2date.


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four more rand beers. four more rand beers. four more rand beers.
wotisitgood4.blogspot.com

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