Monday, July 25, 2005

it breaks my heart and scares the shit out of me

iraq is a disaster of such enormous propotions - and as ive said before, the best outcome is unimaginably bad.

it breaks my heart and scares the shit out of me.

i dont blog about it much cos, at a distance, every day is the same as the last. and the next. the details are mostly irrelevant - except for the recently dead, and their families, and the soon to be dead, and their families. the only hope is that the number of dead-so-far is greater than the soon-to-be-dead.

firstly, let me say, the recent iraqbodycount report that 25000 people have died is so absurdly misleading - the only reason that it got as much press as it did is cos it lowballs by such an extraordinary degree that it was 'acceptable' - even given that, fauxnews (john gibson i think?) totally took a swipe at it cos one of the founders of IBC voted democrat once. or something. the lies are just so extreme that it nearly breaks my fragile brain. i know ive been saying that for three years - you'd think id get used to it - but nope.

i wont even bother giving my 'best' policy prescription because the stupid fucking egadministration doesnt want one today anymore than they did 30 months ago. all this talk about what they should do is simply wasted energy. occasionally we see 'brave' folk like amcon belatedly acknowledging that 'failure *is* an option' - but that *completely* misses the point - cos it assumes that the purported goals are the actual goals. the premise is simply false.

the reality is that what theyve got is what theyve always wanted - they arent even looking for ways to solve the 'problem', cos there is no problem as they see it. all the cakewalk talk wasnt 'wrong' - it was all just marketing. thats where zarqawi fits in - he isnt just an excuse to hide the internecine nature of the fighting - he 'exists' specifically to promote the inevitable balkanisation. thats why they will never capture him. he exists for a reason, not as an excuse. thats where it becomes really scary - he is the wedge, and its *finally* starting to payoff - it looks like 'he' is finally serving his purpose and is really causing a sectarian split. i bet they never thought it would take this long.

the only remaining question to be answered is how many people they literally, specifically, murdered along the way in his name. who really carried out all those attacks they attributed to zarqawi? its almost unthinkable.

this recent plamegate noise is all about the exact same 'lies' (although the word 'lies' doesnt really do the crimes justice). i remember blogging in those days leading up to the invasion in absolute horror (altho i think it was in email form back then) when the lies that are only now becoming transparent were obvious only to a few of us who were watching closely (but were readily apparent nonetheless).

i remember watching (and blogging) the months and then weeks and then days building up to the invasion - culminating mostly at powells UN performance - it was a weird mix of sadness at the imminient war, mixed in with the absolute horror of *knowing* that they were lying through their teeth. you can go back to my writings back in those days and it was *exactly* what we are 'learning' today with all these plame leaks. its fucking heartbreaking. i remember sitting there watching powell with tears streaming down my face - *amazed* that they could lie like that - it was like watching massmurder in advance. (actually i cant remember who was on the email list in those days - it might have only been miggidy and pam). and then there was that brief moment of evil respite and false hope when devillepin (sp?) gave his speech and i dared let myself think that maybe for a minute there was a chance that the craziness would stop. sadly, no.

anyways, all that is irrelevant, except to the extent that the mess in iraq that we see today was exactly predictable, but more than that - the situation we currently see was the specific goal of that entire enterprise. its not that the 'candy & flowers' thing turned out to be incorrect, any more than they happened not to find wmd. the situation in iraq today was the specific goal - and im sad to say that it appears that we've finally got to where they originally wanted to get to.

even if the entire radminsistration was impeached tomorrow and a *real* anti-war administration was appointed tomorrow (not the stupid biden/kerry/hillary hawks), and all the cia stooge-puppets in the iraqi govt were somehow wiped away by the magic eraser of history - even if all that happened, i fear that the civil war genie couldnt be forced back into the bottle.

the only remaining questions are how many people will die in the mayhem, and how many other countries will be sucked into the 'civil' war.

maybe cheney and the rest of the Mission Accomplices can finally say 'mission accomplished'


it paints a fucking bleak future for the rest of us.

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