Sunday, August 28, 2005

hell hath no fury like a girlie-voter scorned

ive been meaning to point to this post at Rising Hegemon for a few days:
"Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Bush administration has conducted the war in Iraq? (IF APPROVE/DISAPPROVE, ASK:) Is that strongly or somewhat?(Results from June 2005 in parentheses)

--Strongly approve, 20 percent (26)
--Somewhat approve, 16 percent (15)
--Somewhat disapprove, 13 percent (11)
--Strongly disapprove, 45 percent (45)
--Not sure, 5 percent (3)

TOTAL APPROVE -- 37 percent (41)
TOTAL DISAPPROVE -- 58 percent (56)"
i dont believe in polls much - and i havent been crowing like the rest of the blogosphere about blinky's appalling numbers - but to the extent that these numbers have any validity at all, the internals are much much worse than the headline numbers.

for years, its been drummed into our 'beautiful minds' that you either love or hate the Inappropriate Sniggerer and that the nation is 'divided' (although this mantra has noticably (notably?) disappeared).

but look at those internals - the 'Strongly disapprove' is twice the size of the 'Strongly approve' - and worse than that - the middle is basically hollow. (i appreciate that this specific question is about iraq - but its a proxy, of sorts). the true wingnuts will hang on - but there are fewer and fewer of those - and looking at the numbers, its a precipitous decline from 'with us' to 'against us' - people dont hang out in the middle for very long. people dont seem to hang out in either of the 'somewhat' camps for very long, once the reality of reality sets in.

much has been written about the pyschological need of bushvoters to make the facts fit their prior assumptions - and the subsequent justifications - but there is also the 'ex-smoker' paradigm - lets hope hell hath no fury like a girlie-voter scorned.

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